ABSTRACT
Efficiency gains in economic processes often do not deliver the projected overall savings. Irrespective of whether the increase in efficiency saves energy, resources, time or transaction costs, there are various mechanisms that spur additional consumption as a consequence. These mechanisms are generically called rebound effects, and they are problematic from a sustainability perspective as they decrease or outweigh the environmental benefits of efficiency gains. Since one of the overarching purposes of digitalization is to increase efficiency, rebound effects are bound to occur frequently in its wake. Rebound effects of digitalization have been ignored until recently, but they have been increasingly studied lately. One particular mechanism of digital rebound, however, has been largely disregarded so far: the digitalization-induced lowered skill requirements needed to perform a specific activity. As with other types of rebound effects, this leads to an increase in the activity in question. In this paper, we propose the term skill rebound to denote this mechanism. We use the example of self-driving cars to show how digitalization can lower the skill bar for operating a vehicle, and how this opens 'driving' a car to entirely new socio-demographic categories such as elderly, children or even pets, leading to increased use of the (transportation) service in question and thus to rebound effects. We finally argue that these unintended environmental effects of skill rebound must be better understood and taken into account in the design of new digital technologies.
- Janet Abbate. 2003. Women and gender in the history of computing. IEEE Annals of the History of Computing 25, 4 (2003), 4--8. https://doi.org/10.1109/MAHC.2003.1253885Google Scholar
Digital Library
- Benedict Anderson. 1980. Imagined Communities: Reflections on the Origin and Spread of Nationalism. Verso, New York, US. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107049963Google Scholar
- Beam. [n.d.]. The 5 Levels of Autonomous Driving. https://beamberlin.com/the-5-levels-of-autonomous-driving/Google Scholar
- Peter H. G. Berkhout, Jos C. Muskens, and Jan W. Velthuijsen. 2000. Defining the rebound effect. Energy Policy 28, 6-7 (2000), 425--432.Google Scholar
Cross Ref
- Mathias Binswanger. 2001. Technological progress and sustainable development: what about the rebound effect? Ecological Economics 36, 1 (2001), 119--132. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0921-8009(00)00214-7Google Scholar
Cross Ref
- Joschka Bischoff and Michal Maciejewski. 2016. Simulation of City-wide Replacement of Private Cars with Autonomous Taxis in Berlin. Procedia Computer Science 83 (2016), 237--244. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.procs.2016.04.121Google Scholar
Cross Ref
- J. Scott Brennen and Daniel Kreiss. 2016. Digitalization. In The International Encyclopedia of Communication Theory and Philosophy, K.B. Jensen, E.W. Rothenbuhler, J.D. Pooley, and R.T. Craig (Eds.). 1--11. https://doi.org/10.1002/9781118766804.wbiect111Google Scholar
- Austin Brown, Jeffrey Gonder, and Brittany Repac. 2014. An Analysis of Possible Energy Impacts of Automated Vehicles. Springer, Cham, 137--153. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-05990-7_13Google Scholar
- Lawrence D. Burns. 2013. A vision of our transport future. Nature 497 (2013), 181--182.Google Scholar
Cross Ref
- Miriam Börjesson Rivera, Cecilia Håkansson, Åsa Svenfelt, and Göran Finnveden. 2014. Including second order effects in environmental assessments of ICT. Environmental Modelling & Software 56 (2014), 105--115. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.02.005Google Scholar
Cross Ref
- Paul E. Ceruzzi. 1991. When Computers Were Human. IEEE Annals of the History of Computing 13, 3 (July 1991), 237--244. https://doi.org/10.1109/MAHC.1991.10025Google Scholar
Digital Library
- Vlad C. Coroamă, Pernilla Bergmark, Mattias Höjer, and Jens Malmodin. 2020. A Methodology for Assessing the Environmental Effects Induced by ICT Services. Part I: Single Services. In Proc. of the 7th Int. Conf. on ICT for Sustainability (ICT4S). ACM, Bristol, UK.Google Scholar
Digital Library
- Vlad C. Coroamă and Lorenz M. Hilty. 2009. Energy Consumed vs. Energy Saved by ICT - A Closer Look. In Environmental Informatics and Industrial Environmental Protection: Concepts, Methods and Tools, Volker Wohlgemuth, Bernd Page, and Kristina Voigt (Eds.). Shaker Verlag, Aachen, Germany, 353--361.Google Scholar
- Vlad C. Coroamă and Friedemann Mattern. 2019. Digital Rebound - Why Digitalization Will Not Redeem Us Our Environmental Sins. In Proceedings of the 6th international conference on ICT for Sustainability (ICT4S 2019). Lappeenranta, Finland. http://www.vs.inf.ethz.ch/publ/papers/CoroamaMattern2019-DigitalRebound.pdfGoogle Scholar
- Elizabeth L. Eisenstein. 1980. The Printing Press as an Agent of Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781107049963Google Scholar
- Maria Eriksson, Rasmus Fleischer, Anna Johansson, Pelle Snickars, and Patrick Vonderau. 2019. Spotify Teardown. Inside the Black Box of Streaming Music. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, US. https://mitpress.mit.edu/books/spotify-teardownGoogle Scholar
- Daniel J. Fagnant, Kara M. Kockelman, and Prateek Bansal. 2016. Operations of Shared Autonomous Vehicle Fleet for Austin, Texas, Market. Transportation Research Record 2563, 1 (2016), 98--106. https://doi.org/10.3141/2536-12Google Scholar
Cross Ref
- Jeffery B. Greenblatt and Samveg Saxena. 2015. Autonomous taxis could greatly reduce greenhouse-gas emissions of US light-duty vehicles. Nature Climate Change 5 (2015), 860--863.Google Scholar
Cross Ref
- Mustapha Harb, Yu Xiao, Giovanni Circella, Patricia L. Mokhtarian, and Joan L. Walker. 2018. Projecting travelers into a world of self-driving vehicles: estimating travel behavior implications via a naturalistic experiment. Transportation 45 (2018), 1671--1685. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-018-9937-9Google Scholar
Cross Ref
- Corey D. Harper, Chris T. Hendrickson, Sonia Mangones, and Constantine Samaras. 2016. Estimating potential increases in travel with autonomous vehicles for the non-driving, elderly and people with travel-restrictive medical conditions. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 72 (2016), 1--9.Google Scholar
- Lorenz Hilty. 2015. Computing Efficiency, Sufficiency, and Self-sufficiency: A Model for Sustainability?. In Proceedings of the First Workshop on Computing within Limits. https://doi.org/10.5167/uzh-110766Google Scholar
- Lorenz M. Hilty. 2008. Information Technology and Sustainability - Essays on the Relationship between Information Technology and Sustainable Development. Books on Demand, Norderstedt.Google Scholar
- Lorenz M. Hilty. 2012. Why energy efficiency is not sufficient - some remarks on "Green by IT". In Proceedings of the 26th Environmental Informatics Conference (EnviroInfo). Shaker Verlag, Dessau, Germany, 13--20. https://doi.org/10.13140/2.1.4121.6968Google Scholar
- Lorenz M. Hilty and Bernard Aebischer. 2015. ICT for Sustainability: An Emerging Research Field. In ICT Innovations for Sustainability, Lorenz M. Hilty and Bernard Aebischer (Eds.). Springer, Cham, 3--36.Google Scholar
- Nathaniel C Horner, Arman Shehabi, and Inês L Azevedo. 2016. Known unknowns: indirect energy effects of information and communication technology. Environmental Research Letters 11, 10 (Oct. 2016), 103001. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/11/10/103001Google Scholar
Cross Ref
- Michael Huesemann and Joyce Huesemann. 2011. Techno-Fix: Why Technology Won't Save Us Or the Environment. New Society Publishers, Gabriola Island, Canada.Google Scholar
- Cecilia Håkansson and Goran Finnveden. 2015. Indirect rebound and reverse rebound effects in the ICT-sector and emissions of CO2. In Joint Proceedings of EnviroInfo and ICT for Sustainability (ICT4S) 2015. Atlantis Press, 66--73. https://doi.org/10.2991/ict4s-env-15.2015.8Google Scholar
Cross Ref
- W. Stanley Jevons. 1865. The Coal Question; An Inquiry Concerning the Progress of the Nation, and the Probable Exhaustion of Our Coal Mines. Macmillan and Co., London.Google Scholar
- J. Daniel Khazzoom. 1980. Economic Implications of Mandated Efficiency in Standards for Household Appliances. The Energy Journal 1, 4 (1980), 21--40.Google Scholar
- Rico Krueger, Taha H. Rashidi, and John M. Rose. 2016. Preferences for shared autonomous vehicles. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 69 (2016), 343--355. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.trc.2016.06.015Google Scholar
- George Lakoff and Mark Johnson. 2008. Metaphors we live by. University of Chicago press.Google Scholar
- Jennifer S. Light. 1999. When Computers Were Women. Technology and Culture 40, 3 (1999), 455--483. http://www.jstor.org/stable/25147356Google Scholar
Cross Ref
- Marshall McLuhan. 1962. The Gutenberg Galaxy. University of Toronto Press, Toronto, Canada.Google Scholar
- Christina Pakusch, Gunnar Stevens, and Paul Bossauer. 2018. Shared Autonomous Vehicles: Potentials for a Sustainable Mobility and Risks of Unintended Effects. In ICT4S2018. 5th International Conference on Information and Communication Technology for Sustainability (EPiC Series in Computing), Birgit Penzenstadler, Steve Easterbrook, Colin Venters, and Syed Ishtiaque Ahmed (Eds.), Vol. 52. EasyChair, 258--269. https://doi.org/10.29007/rg73Google Scholar
- Chris Preist, Daniel Schien, and Eli Blevis. 2016. Understanding and Mitigating the Effects of Device and Cloud Service Design Decisions on the Environmental Footprint of Digital Infrastructure. In Proceedings of the 2016 CHI Conference on Human Factors in Computing Systems (CHI '16). ACM, New York, NY, USA, 1324--1337. https://doi.org/10.1145/2858036.2858378Google Scholar
Digital Library
- Barath Raghavan. 2015. Abstraction, indirection, and Sevareid's Law: Towards benign computing. First Monday 20, 8 (July 2015). https://doi.org/10.5210/fm.v20i8.6120Google Scholar
Cross Ref
- Barath Raghavan and Shaddi Hasan. 2016. Macroscopically Sustainable Networking: On Internet Quines. In Proceedings of the Second Workshop on Computing within Limits (LIMITS '16). ACM, New York, NY, USA, Article Article 11. https://doi.org/10.1145/2926676.2926685Google Scholar
Digital Library
- Barath Raghavan and Daniel Pargman. 2016. Refactoring Society: Systems Complexity in an Age of Limits. In Proceedings of the Second Workshop on Computing within Limits (LIMITS '16). Association for Computing Machinery, New York, NY, USA, Article Article 2, 7 pages. https://doi.org/10.1145/2926676.2926677Google Scholar
Digital Library
- RAND. 2016. Autonomous Vehicle Technology - A Guide for Policymakers. Technical Report. RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California. https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/research_reports/RR400/RR443-2/RAND_RR443-2.pdfGoogle Scholar
- Tina Ringenson, Mattias Höjer, Anna Kramers, and Anna Viggedal. 2018. Digitalization and Environmental Aims in Municipalities. Sustainability 10, 4 (2018). https://doi.org/10.3390/su10041278Google Scholar
- Horst WJ Rittel and Melvin M Webber. 1973. Dilemmas in a general theory of planning. Policy sciences 4, 2 (1973), 155--169.Google Scholar
- Everett M. Rogers. 2003. Diffusion of Innovations (5 ed.). Free Press, New York, US.Google Scholar
- Hartmut Rosa. 2013. Social Acceleration. A New Theory of Modernity. Columbia University Press, New York, US.Google Scholar
- SAE. 2014. Taxonomy and Definitions for Terms Related to On-Road Motor Vehicle Automated Driving Systems. https://doi.org/10.4271/J3016_201401Google Scholar
- Jack H. Townsend and Vlad C. Coroamă. 2018. Digital Acceleration of Sustainability Transition: The Paradox of Push Impacts. Sustainability 10, 8 (2018). https://doi.org/10.3390/su10082816Google Scholar
- Iis P. Tussyadiah, Florian J. Zach, and Jianxi Wang. 2017. Attitudes Toward Autonomous on Demand Mobility System: The Case of Self-Driving Taxi. In Information and Communication Technologies in Tourism 2017, Roland Schegg and Brigitte Stangl (Eds.). Cham, 755--766.Google Scholar
- Eric Williams. 2011. Environmental effects of information and communications technologies. Nature 479 (2011), 354--358. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature10682Google Scholar
Index Terms
Skill rebound: On an unintended effect of digitalization





Comments